|











| |
|
January 2008 Stock
Picks |
| Stock Name |
SYM |
Exch. |
Sector |
Industry |
Date Picked |
Pick Price (per share) |
ASG |
|
Denbury Resources Inc. |
DNR |
NYSE |
Energy
|
Oil & Gas Operations |
01/04/08 |
$31.16 |
48.20 (Good) |
|
Arena Resources Inc |
ARD |
NYSE |
Energy
|
Oil & Gas Operations |
01/11/08 |
$42.12 |
48.96 (Good) |
|
The Mosaic Co. |
MOS |
NYSE |
Basic Materials
|
Chemical Manufacturing |
01/18/08 |
$80.02 |
42.84 (Good) |
|
Meridian Bioscience Inc. |
VIVO |
NASD |
Healthcare
|
Biotechnology & Drugs |
01/25/08 |
$32.60 |
52.02 (Very Good) |
Denbury Resources Inc. (NYSE:
DNR) is engaged in the acquisition, development, operation and exploration
of oil and natural gas properties in the Gulf
Coast region of the United States, primarily in Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama,
and Texas. DNR's tertiary operations are its principal focus and core
assets. To date, DNR does not have any industry competition in its region
of operation. Generally, from the Texas Gulf Coast to Florida, there are no
known significant natural sources of carbon dioxide (CO2) except those of
DNR's, and these large volumes of CO2 are the foundation for DNR's
entire tertiary program.
CO2 is one of the most efficient tertiary recovery mechanisms for crude oil. The
CO2 acts somewhat like a solvent for the oil, removing it from the oil bearing
formation as the CO2 passes through the rock. CO2 tertiary floods are unique
because they require large volumes of CO2 , which is limited to a few geological
basins, one of which is DNR's source near Jackson, Mississippi. Further,
the most efficient way to transport CO2 is via dedicated pipelines, which are
also in limited supply. Because the sources and methods of transportation of CO2
are limited, only 3% or 250,000 Bbls/d of the United States domestic oil
production is derived from tertiary recovery projects. While enhanced oil
recovery (EOR) projects utilizing CO2 may not be considered a new technology,
DNR applies several additional technologies to
the fields: well evaluations, new completion or stimulation techniques,
operating equipment and seismic interpretations. DNR began its CO2
operations in August 1999 and have since embarked upon a strategic program to
improve its knowledge of CO2 production and tertiary recovery to build a
dominant position in this niche play. Proved undeveloped reserves associated
with DNR's CO2 tertiary operations in Mississippi account for
approximately 82% of its proved undeveloped oil reserves. DNR's proved
undeveloped natural gas reserves account for approximately 96% of its proved
undeveloped natural gas reserves. All of DNR's operations are in the
United States.
The
stock's price gained 29.6% over the past 3 months (vs. the Industry's 30.1%);
56.7% over the past 6 months (vs. the Industry's58.8%); and 139.1% over
the past 12 months (vs. the Industry's 158.5%).
DNR
is classified as a
mid-cap growth company (with a market cap of $7.61B) that is rated to
outperform the market over the next six months with a Risk Level of 3 (Average).
DNR was
originally incorporated in Canada in 1951. In 1992, DNR acquired all of
the shares of a United States operating company, Denbury Management, Inc. (DMI),
and subsequent to the merger, all of DNR's Canadian assets were
sold. Since that time, all of DNR's operations have been in the United
States. DNR's principal executive offices
are at
Plana, Texas.
DNR has
629 employees.
Sector: Energy; Industry:
Oil & Gas Operations;
Ticker:DNR;
Exch:
NYSE;
01/04/08 Closing Price:
$31.16
STOCK GRADE (ASG): 48.20 ( GOOD)
BUSINESS & FINANCIAL SUMMARY;
KEY STATS
(Yahoo)
EXPANDED BUSINESS DESCRIPTION
(Reuters)
STOCK INFO/RESEARCH
(MSN)
COMPETITORS
(CNN Money)
OWNERSHIP
(MSN)
KEY DEVELOPMENTS
(MSN),
RECENT NEWS
(MSN) &
HEADLINES (Yahoo)
HISTORICAL PRICES (Yahoo)
&
PRICE CHART
(IQChart)
RISK LEVEL: 2
(Less than average)
(MSN)
COMPANY'S WEB SITE
|
Management's Effectiveness (Trailing
12 Mo.) |
. . . |
Return on Equity: |
17.33% |
|
Profitability (Trailing
12 Mo.) |
. . . |
Profit Margin: |
24.94% |
|
Stock's Growth Record
(Trailing
12 Mo.) |
. . . |
Revenue: |
30.54% |
|
. . . |
EPS: |
17.55% |
|
. . . |
Price: |
139.14% |
|
. . . |
Dividend: |
NA |
| PE & EPS (Trailing 12 Mo.) |
. . . |
Price/Earnings: |
38.66 |
|
. . . |
Earnings/Share: |
0.61 |
|
Price / Share (Pick Date, Closing Price) |
. . . |
Pick Date 01/04/2007: |
$31.16 |
COMMENT: The stock's pick price (of $31.16) is over the 13- and 50-day EMA price range; i.e.,
higher than
the 13-day EMA price
(of $29.86)
and over the 50-day EMA (of $27.67) by 4.35% and 12.61% respectively. This suggests that the pick price is
presently NOT timely NOR advantageous buy
price for the stock. (Note: A stock's EMA price changes with
time).
|
. . . |
|
|
| Price
/ Share (13-day EMA) |
. . . |
01/04/2008: |
$29.86 |
| Price
/ Share (50-day EMA) |
. . . |
01/04/2008: |
$27.67 |
| Price
/ Share (13-day EMA) |
. . . |
|
Current:
|
| Price
/ Share (50-day EMA) |
. . . |
|
Current: |
| Price
/ Share (Current) |
. . . |
Current Price |
Quote |
| Price
/ Share (Historical) |
. . . |
Historical Price |
Quote |
SPECIAL NOTE:
1. Denbury
posts record or near
record production, cash flow and earnings figures for 3rd quarter of 2007.
(Business Wire, November 1, 2007).
2. Denbury
reports total proved oil and natural gas reserves as of December 31, 2006
which replaces 260% ot the company's 2006 production
(SmartBrief; February 6, 2007).
3.
Denbury partners with Rentech Inc. for the use of all captured carbon
dioxide from Rentech’s proposed synthetic fuels plant
to be built in Mississippi.(SmartBrief;
June 25, 2007) 4.
OPEC, crude oil
prices and Denbury's stock price.
(Reuters; November 12, 2007). 5.
"Energy Stocks on the Cheap". Denbury is among these
stocks.
(Forbes; December 15, 2007)
^Top page
Arena Resources Inc. (NYSE: ARD)
is engaged in oil and
natural gas acquisition, exploration, development and production, with
activities currently in Oklahoma, Texas, New Mexico and Kansas.
ARD focus is
on developing its existing properties, while continuing to pursue acquisitions
of oil and gas properties with upside potential. Since its inception in August
2000, ARD
have built its asset base and achieved growth primarily through property
acquisitions.
ARD have a
portfolio of oil and natural gas reserves, with approximately 84% of its proved
reserves consisting of oil and approximately 16% consisting of natural gas. Of
those reserves approximately 28% of the proved reserves are classified as proved
developed producing, or “PDP,” approximately 5% of the proved reserves are
classified as proved developed non-producing, or “PDNP,” approximately 5% are
classified as proved developed behind pipe “PDBP,” and approximately 62% are
classified as proved undeveloped, or “PUD.”
ARD
principally sell its oil and natural gas production to end users, marketers and
other purchasers that have access to nearby pipeline facilities. In areas where
there is no practical access to pipelines, oil is trucked to storage facilities.
For fiscal year 2006, sales to one customer, Navajo Refining Company,
represented 82% of oil and gas revenues. At December 31, 2006, this customer
represented 80% of
ARD's
accounts receivable. Approximately thirty-nine percent (39%) of
ARD's
reserves for the year ended December 31, 2006 are associated with secondary
recovery projects that are either in the initial stage of implementation or are
scheduled for implementation.
ARD anticipate
that secondary recovery will be attempted by the use of waterflood of these
reserves, and the exact project initiation dates and, by the very nature of
waterflood operations, the exact completion dates of such projects, are
undetermined.
The
stock's price gained 21.0% over the past 3 months (vs. the Industry's 41.9%);
40.6% over the past 6 months (vs. the Industry's 88.6%); and 125.5% over
the past 12 months (vs. the Industry's 246.3%).
ARD
is classified as a
mid-cap growth company (with a market cap of $1.44B) that is rated to
outperform the market over the next six months with a Risk Level of 2 (Less than
average).
ARD was
incorporated in 2000 and its principal executive offices
are located at Tulsa, Oklahoma.
ARD has
52 employees.
Sector: Energy; Industry:
Oil & Gas Operations; Ticker:ARD;
Exch:
NYSE;
01/11/08 Closing Price: $42.12
STOCK GRADE (ASG): 48.96 (GOOD)
BUSINESS & FINANCIAL SUMMARY;
KEY STATS
(Yahoo)
EXPANDED BUSINESS DESCRIPTION
(Reuters)
STOCK INFO/RESEARCH
(MSN)
COMPETITORS
(CNN Money)
OWNERSHIP
(MSN)
KEY DEVELOPMENTS
(MSN),
RECENT NEWS
(MSN) &
HEADLINES (Yahoo)
HISTORICAL PRICES (Yahoo)
&
PRICE CHART
(IQChart)
RISK LEVEL: 2
(Less than average)
(MSN)
COMPANY'S WEB SITE
|
Management's Effectiveness (Trailing
12 Mo.) |
. . . |
Return on Equity: |
16.70% |
|
Profitability (Trailing
12 Mo.) |
. . . |
Profit Margin: |
37.11% |
|
Stock's Growth Record
(Trailing
12 Mo.) |
. . . |
Revenue: |
131.24% |
|
. . . |
EPS: |
106.29% |
|
. . . |
Price: |
125.54% |
|
. . . |
Dividend: |
NA |
| PE & EPS (Trailing 12 Mo.) |
. . . |
Price/Earnings: |
45.29 |
|
. . . |
Earnings/Share: |
0.93 |
|
Price / Share (Pick Date, Closing Price) |
. . . |
Pick Date 01/11/2008: |
$42.12 |
COMMENT: The stock's pick price (of $42.12) is over the 13- and 50-day EMA price range; i.e.,
higher than
the 13-day EMA price
(of $41.70)
and 50-day EMA (of $38.91) by 1.00% and 8.24% respectively. This suggests that the pick price
is
presently NOT timely NOR advantageous buy
price for the stock. (Note: A stock's EMA price changes with
time).
|
. . . |
|
|
| Price
/ Share (13-day EMA) |
. . . |
01/11/2008: |
$41.70 |
| Price
/ Share (50-day EMA) |
. . . |
01/11/2008: |
$38.91 |
| Price
/ Share (13-day EMA) |
. . . |
|
Current:
|
| Price
/ Share (50-day EMA) |
. . . |
|
Current: |
| Price
/ Share (Current) |
. . . |
Current Price |
Quote |
| Price
/ Share (Historical) |
. . . |
Historical Price |
Quote |
SPECIAL NOTE:
1. Arena
Resources had record third quarter financial and operating results. (Business Wire,
November 9, 2007).
2. Arena
Resources adds an estimated 8
million barrels of oil equivalent of proved reserves in West Texas.
(Business
Wire; December 12, 2007).
^Top page
The Mosaic Co. (NYSE:
MOS)
is a producer and
marketer of concentrated phosphate and potash crop nutrients for the global
agriculture industry.
MOS
is a single source supplier of phosphate-, potash- and nitrogen-based crop
nutrients and animal feed ingredients.
MOS
serve customers in approximately 45 countries; have phosphate mining operations
in Florida and phosphate production facilities in Florida and Louisiana; potash
mines and production facilities in Saskatchewan, Canada, New Mexico and
Michigan; strategic equity investments in phosphate and nitrogen production
facilities in Brazil and Canada; and other production, blending or distribution
operations or equity investments in nearly a dozen countries, including the top
four nutrient consuming countries in the world.
MOS
is organized into four business segments: Phosphates, Potash, Offshore and
Nitrogen. The Phosphates Segment is the largest producer of phosphate fertilizer
in the world and the largest producer of phosphate-based animal feed ingredients
in the United States.
MOS
sell phosphate-based crop nutrients and animal feed ingredients throughout North
America and internationally. The Potash Segment is the third-largest producer of
potash in the world.
MOS
sell potash throughout North America and internationally, principally as
fertilizer, but also for use in industrial applications and, to a lesser degree,
as animal feed ingredients. The
Offshore Segment consists of sales offices, fertilizer blending and bagging
facilities, port terminals and warehouses in several key international
countries. The Nitrogen Segment includes the distribution of nitrogen-based
fertilizer in North America.
The
stock's price gained 28.0% over the past 3 months (vs. the Industry's 35.7%);
106.3% over the past 6 months (vs. the Industry's 120.7%); and 264.7% over
the past 12 months (vs. the Industry's 298.4%).
MOS
is classified as a
large-cap growth company (with a market cap of $35.46B) that is rated to
outperform the market over the next six months with a Risk Level of 3 (Average).
MOS was
incorporated in 2004 and its principal executive offices
are located at Plymouth, Minnesota.
MOS has
7,100 employees.
Sector:
Basic Materials; Industry:
Chemical Manufacturing; Ticker:MOS;
Exch:
NYSE;
01/18/08 Closing Price: $80.02
STOCK GRADE (ASG): 42.84 (GOOD)
BUSINESS & FINANCIAL SUMMARY;
KEY STATS
(Yahoo)
EXPANDED BUSINESS DESCRIPTION
(Reuters)
STOCK INFO/RESEARCH
(MSN)
COMPETITORS
(CNN Money)
OWNERSHIP
(MSN)
KEY DEVELOPMENTS
(MSN),
RECENT NEWS
(MSN) &
HEADLINES (Yahoo)
HISTORICAL PRICES (Yahoo)
&
PRICE CHART
(IQChart)
RISK LEVEL: 3
(Average)
(MSN)
COMPANY'S WEB SITE
|
Management's Effectiveness (Trailing
12 Mo.) |
. . . |
Return on Equity: |
21.37% |
|
Profitability (Trailing
12 Mo.) |
. . . |
Profit Margin: |
13.19% |
|
Stock's Growth Record
(Trailing
12 Mo.) |
. . . |
Revenue: |
8.82% |
|
. . . |
EPS: |
374.95% |
|
. . . |
Price: |
377.43% |
|
. . . |
Dividend: |
NA |
| PE & EPS (Trailing 12 Mo.) |
. . . |
Price/Earnings: |
48.26 |
|
. . . |
Earnings/Share: |
2.13 |
|
Price / Share (Pick Date, Closing Price) |
. . . |
Pick Date 01/18/2008: |
$80.02 |
COMMENT: The stock's pick price (of $80.02) is under the 13- and 50-day EMA price range; i.e.,
lower than
the 13-day EMA price
(of $91.33)
and 50-day EMA (of $82.19) by -12.38% and -2.65% respectively. This suggests that the pick price
IS
presently timely AND advantageous buy
price for the stock. (Note: A stock's EMA price changes with
time).
|
. . . |
|
|
| Price
/ Share (13-day EMA) |
. . . |
01/18/2008: |
$91.33 |
| Price
/ Share (50-day EMA) |
. . . |
01/18/2008: |
$82.19 |
| Price
/ Share (13-day EMA) |
. . . |
|
Current:
|
| Price
/ Share (50-day EMA) |
. . . |
|
Current: |
| Price
/ Share (Current) |
. . . |
Current Price |
Quote |
| Price
/ Share (Historical) |
. . . |
Historical Price |
Quote |
SPECIAL NOTE:
1. Mosaic
beats the Street's earning estimates. (Forbes.com;
January 9, 2008)
2. Mosaic's
6-fold increase in profit propels 3-fold increase in share price. (The Motley Fool; January 11, 2008).
3. Mosaic thriving on fertile ground. (Forbes.com; December 20, 2007)
4. Mosaic is best-managed company in the Chemicals industry. ("America's
Best Big Companies"; Forbes.com; December 20, 2007)
5.
Crops & Ag sector pulling back; a buy opportunity or just let the good times go?
(MarketWatch; January 15, 2008).
^Top page
Meridian Bioscience Inc. (NASD:
VIVO)
is an integrated life
science company whose principal businesses are the development, manufacture,
sale and
distribution of diagnostic test kits, primarily for certain respiratory,
gastrointestinal, viral and parasitic infectious diseases; the manufacture and
distribution of bulk antigens, antibodies, and reagents used by researchers and
other diagnostic manufacturers; and the contract manufacture of proteins and
other
biologicals for use by biopharmaceutical and biotechnology companies engaged in
research for new drugs and vaccines.
VIVO's diagnostic test kits utilize
immunodiagnostic technologies, which test samples of blood, urine, stool, and
other body fluids or tissue for the presence of antigens and antibodies of
specific infectious diseases.
VIVO's diagnostic products are used
principally in the detection of respiratory diseases, such as pneumonia, valley
fever, influenza, and Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV); gastrointestinal
diseases, such as stomach ulcers (H. pylori ), antibiotic-associated diarrhea
(C. difficile ) and pediatric diarrhea (Rotavirus and Adenovirus); viral
diseases, such as Mononucleosis, Herpes Simplex, Chicken Pox and Shingles (Varicella-Zoster)
and Cytomegalovirus.
The global market for infectious disease tests continues to expand as new
disease states are identified, new therapies become available, and worldwide
standards of living and access to health care improve. More importantly, within
this market there is a continuing shift from conventional testing, which
requires highly-trained personnel and lengthy turnaround times for test results,
to more technologically advanced testing which can be performed by less
highly-trained personnel and
completed in minutes or hours.
The
stock's price gained 0.9% over the past 3 months (vs. the Industry's -11.6%);
42.9% over the past 6 months (vs. the Industry's 6.3%); and 67.9% over
the past 12 months (vs. the Industry's 18.9%).
VIVO
is classified as a
small-cap growth company (with a market cap of $1.30B) that is rated to
outperform the market over the next six months with a Risk Level of 2 (Less than
average).
Meridian was
founded in 1976 and its principal executive offices
are located at Cincinnati, Ohio.
VIVO has
396 employees.
Sector:
Healthcare;
Industry:
Biotechnology & Drug;
Ticker: VIVO;
Exch:
NASD;
01/25/08 Closing Price:
$32.60
STOCK GRADE (ASG): 52.02 (VERY GOOD)
BUSINESS & FINANCIAL SUMMARY;
KEY STATS
(Yahoo)
EXPANDED BUSINESS DESCRIPTION
(Reuters)
STOCK INFO/RESEARCH
(MSN)
COMPETITORS
(CNN Money)
OWNERSHIP
(MSN)
KEY DEVELOPMENTS
(MSN),
RECENT NEWS
(MSN) &
HEADLINES (Yahoo)
HISTORICAL PRICES (Yahoo)
&
PRICE CHART
(IQChart)
RISK LEVEL: 2
(Less than average)
(MSN)
COMPANY'S WEB SITE
|
Management's Effectiveness (Trailing
12 Mo.) |
. . . |
Return on Equity: |
25.78% |
|
Profitability (Trailing
12 Mo.) |
. . . |
Profit Margin: |
21.10% |
|
Stock's Growth Record
(Trailing
12 Mo.) |
. . . |
Revenue: |
13.42% |
|
. . . |
EPS: |
43.70% |
|
. . . |
Price: |
67.92% |
|
. . . |
Dividend: |
42.86% |
| PE & EPS (Trailing 12 Mo.) |
. . . |
Price/Earnings: |
46.64 |
|
. . . |
Earnings/Share: |
0.70 |
|
Price / Share (Pick Date, Closing Price) |
. . . |
Pick Date 01/25/2008: |
$32.60 |
COMMENT: The stock's pick price (of $32.60) is under the 13- and over the 50-day EMA price range; i.e.,
lower than
the 13-day EMA price
(of $33.20)
and higher than the 50-day EMA (of $31.78) by -1.81% and 2.58% respectively. This suggests that the pick price
IS
presently timely AND advantageous buy
price for the stock. (Note: A stock's EMA price changes with
time).
|
. . . |
|
|
| Price
/ Share (13-day EMA) |
. . . |
01/25/2008: |
$33.20 |
| Price
/ Share (50-day EMA) |
. . . |
01/25/2008: |
$31.78 |
| Price
/ Share (13-day EMA) |
. . . |
|
Current:
|
| Price
/ Share (50-day EMA) |
. . . |
|
Current: |
| Price
/ Share (Current) |
. . . |
Current Price |
Quote |
| Price
/ Share (Historical) |
. . . |
Historical Price |
Quote |
SPECIAL NOTE:
1. Meridian reports record fiscal
2007 operating results. (Business
Wire; November 14, 2007)
2. Meridian provides sales and
earnings guidance for fiscal 2008. (SmartBrief August 14, 2007).
3. Meridian's profits surge in 1Q 2008. (Cincinnati
Enquirer; January 22, 2008)
4.
Discipline, R&D Boost Meridian
(CNN
Money; January 25 2008).
5. Top stocks of the next 50 yrs. Meridian's among the stocks.
(Motley
Fool; November 24, 2007)
^Top page
Randgold Resources Ltd. ADR (NASD:
GOLD)
is engaged in gold
mining and exploration that are focused on West and East Africa.
RANDGOLD seeks to discover
bulk tonnage gold deposits, either from phased exploration programs or the
acquisition of early stage to mature exploration programs. In Mali,
RANDGOLD holds
interests in the Morila mine. In October 2005 the first gold was poured at
RANDGOLD's new Loulo mine, in which
RANDGOLD owns an 80% controlling interest, and work
has commenced on the development of two underground mines, Yalea and Gara. In
addition,
RANDGOLD have a feasibility stage project in the neighboring country of
Côte d’Ivoire, as well as exploration permits covering additional areas in Mali,
Côte d’Ivoire, Burkina Faso, Ghana and Senegal and exploration licenses in
Tanzania.
As of March 31, 2007, GOLD had declared proven and probable reserves of
approximately 6.29 million ounces attributable to the company's percentage
ownership interests. Outside of Morila SA,
RANDGOLD hold exploration permits
covering 3,000 square kilometers in the Morila region. The Loulo mine, in its
first full year of production, produced 241,575 ounces of gold. Work on the
underground development at the Yalea mine commenced and the first hard rock was
blasted in December 2006. It is expected that the first ore will be accessed
towards the end of the year and full production is scheduled for 2009. It is
anticipated that Loulo’s second underground mine, Gara, will start in the
beginning of 2009 and first ore will be delivered to the plant at the end of
that year. The focus of exploration at Loulo is to continue to explore and
discover additional mineralized material from the 372 square kilometer permit
and to date success has lead to the identification of two additional targets,
Faraba and Boboto, which are subject to further exploration.
The
stock's price gained 25.5% over the past 3 months (vs. the Industry's 1.1%);
104.2% over the past 6 months (vs. the Industry's 66.4%); and 98.2% over
the past 12 months (vs. the Industry's 69.8%).
RANDGOLD
is classified as a
mi-cap company (with a market cap of $3.08B) that is rated to
outperform the market over the next six months with a Risk Level of 3 (Average).
RANDGOLD was
founded in 1985 and its principal executive offices
are located at St. Helier, Jersey, Channel Islands.
RANDGOLD has
1,440 employees.
Sector:
Basic Materials;
Industry:
Gold & Silver;
Ticker: GOLD;
Exch:
NASD;
02/04/08 Closing Price:
$44.19
STOCK GRADE (ASG): 49.73 (GOOD)
BUSINESS & FINANCIAL SUMMARY;
KEY STATS
(Yahoo)
EXPANDED BUSINESS DESCRIPTION
(Reuters)
STOCK INFO/RESEARCH
(MSN)
COMPETITORS
(CNN Money)
OWNERSHIP
(MSN)
KEY DEVELOPMENTS
(MSN),
RECENT NEWS
(MSN) &
HEADLINES (Yahoo)
HISTORICAL PRICES (Yahoo)
&
PRICE CHART
(IQChart)
RISK LEVEL: 3
(Average)
(MSN)
COMPANY'S WEB SITE
|
Management's Effectiveness (Trailing
12 Mo.) |
. . . |
Return on Equity: |
11.20% |
|
Profitability (Trailing
12 Mo.) |
. . . |
Profit Margin: |
13.30% |
|
Stock's Growth Record
(Trailing
12 Mo.) |
. . . |
Revenue: |
81.45% |
|
. . . |
EPS: |
4.12% |
|
. . . |
Price: |
98.17% |
|
. . . |
Dividend: |
NA |
| PE & EPS (Trailing 12 Mo.) |
. . . |
Price/Earnings: |
79.23 |
|
. . . |
Earnings/Share: |
0.56 |
|
Price / Share (Pick Date, Closing Price) |
. . . |
Pick Date 02/04/2008: |
$44.`19 |
COMMENT: The stock's pick price (of $44.19) is under the 13- and over the 50-day EMA price range; i.e.,
lower than
the 13-day EMA price
(of $45.38)
and higher than the 50-day EMA (of $40.55) by -2.61% and 8.99% respectively. This suggests that the pick price
IS
presently timely AND advantageous buy
price for the stock. (Note: A stock's EMA price changes with
time).
|
. . . |
|
|
| Price
/ Share (13-day EMA) |
. . . |
02/02/2008: |
$45.38 |
| Price
/ Share (50-day EMA) |
. . . |
02/02/2008: |
$40.55 |
| Price
/ Share (13-day EMA) |
. . . |
|
Current:
|
| Price
/ Share (50-day EMA) |
. . . |
|
Current: |
| Price
/ Share (Current) |
. . . |
Current Price |
Quote |
| Price
/ Share (Historical) |
. . . |
Historical Price |
Quote |
SPECIAL NOTE:
1. Stocks you wish you'd bought.
Randgold is one of those stocks. (Motley
Fool; January 18, 2008)
2. Randgold
profits dip, gold to boost 2008 earnings.
(Mail&Guardian;
February 4, 2008). 3. Market forces - why investors
turns to gold. (The
Observer; November 4, 2007).
4. In overdrive to $1,000 Gold. Randgold is one of the stock's
recommended in this environment. (Barron's;
October 1, 2007)
5. Gold,
platinum leads commodities jump as investors shun stocks.
(Bloomberg.com;
January 9, 2008)
^Top page
Ritchie Bros. Auctioneers Inc. (NYSE: RBA)
is an auctioneer of
industrial equipment operating from over 110 locations, including 29 auction
sites, in 25 countries around the world.
RBA sell,
through unreserved public auctions, a broad range of assets, including trucks
and equipment used in the construction, transportation, mining, forestry,
petroleum, material handling, marine and agricultural industries.
RBA customers
are primarily end users of equipment (retail buyers), such as contractors, and
they also include equipment manufacturers, dealers, brokers and finance
companies (wholesale buyers). Consignment volumes at
RBA auctions
are affected by a number of factors, including regular fleet upgrades and
realignments, financial pressure, mergers and acquisitions, retirements,
inventory reductions and the completion of major construction and other
projects.
RBA's primary
target markets within the global industrial equipment market are the used truck
and equipment sectors. Industry analysts estimate that there is approximately $1
trillion of used industrial equipment of the type
RBA sell in
circulation worldwide, and that around $100 billion of that equipment changes
ownership each year. Of this total, only a fraction is currently traded through
auctions, with the majority being sold directly by the owner or through dealers
and brokers. Much of the equipment that
RBA sell can
be used in multiple industries and in diverse geographic locations.
RBA gross
auction sales were $1.79 billion for the year ended December 31, 2004, which is
15% higher than in 2003, and represents less than 2% of the total market.
RBA held its
first major industrial auction in 1963, selling over $600,000 worth of
construction equipment in Radium, British Columbia. By 1970,
RBA had
established operations in the United States and held its first U.S. sale in
Beaverton, Oregon. In 1987,
RBA held its
first European auctions in Liverpool, U.K. and Rotterdam, The Netherlands and
its first Australian auction in 1990. This was followed by expansion into Asia
and subsequent sales in countries including Japan, the Philippines and
Singapore.
RBA's first
Mexican auction was held in 1995 and its first Middle Eastern auction in Dubai,
U.A.E. in 1997. In 2003,
RBA held its
first African auction in Durban, in the Republic of South Africa, and its first
Greek auction, in Athens.
RBA also
established a presence in Brazil, Istanbul (Turkey), Beijing (China), Jakarta
(Indonesia), Tehran (Iran), and New Delhi (India).
The
stock's price gained 11.4% over the past 3 months (vs. the Industry's -24.4%);
34.2% over the past 6 months (vs. the Industry's 2.6%); and 44.6% over
the past 12 months (vs. the Industry's 12.7%).
RBA
is classified as a
mid-cap growth company (with a market cap of $2.93B) that is rated to
outperform the market over the next six months with a Risk Level of 2 (Less than
average).
RBA was
incorporated in Canada in 1963 and its principal executive offices
are located at Richmond, British Columbia.
RBA has
907 employees.
Sector:
Services; Industry:
Retail (Specialty); Ticker:RBA;
Exch:
NYSE;
02/08/08 Closing Price: $84.19
STOCK GRADE (ASG): 52.79 (
VERY GOOD)
BUSINESS & FINANCIAL SUMMARY;
KEY STATS
(Yahoo)
EXPANDED BUSINESS DESCRIPTION
(Reuters)
STOCK INFO/RESEARCH
(MSN)
COMPETITORS
(CNN Money)
OWNERSHIP
(MSN)
KEY DEVELOPMENTS
(MSN),
RECENT NEWS
(MSN) &
HEADLINES (Yahoo)
HISTORICAL PRICES (Yahoo)
&
PRICE CHART
(IQChart)
RISK LEVEL: 2
(Less than average)
(MSN)
COMPANY'S WEB SITE
|
Management's Effectiveness (Trailing
12 Mo.) |
. . . |
Return on Equity: |
17.47% |
|
Profitability (Trailing
12 Mo.) |
. . . |
Profit Margin: |
22.73% |
|
Stock's Growth Record
(Trailing
12 Mo.) |
. . . |
Revenue: |
22.77% |
|
. . . |
EPS: |
6.42% |
|
. . . |
Price: |
44.58% |
|
. . . |
Dividend: |
NA |
| PE & EPS (Trailing 12 Mo.) |
. . . |
Price/Earnings: |
42.82 |
|
. . . |
Earnings/Share: |
1.97 |
|
Price / Share (Pick Date, Closing Price) |
. . . |
Pick Date 02/08/2008: |
$84.19 |
COMMENT: The stock's pick price (of $84.19) is over the 13- and 50-day EMA price range; i.e.,
higher than
the 13-day EMA price
(of $81.25)
and 50-day EMA (of $78.28) by3.62% and 7.56 respectively. This suggests that the pick price
is
presently NOT timely NOR advantageous buy
price for the stock. (Note: A stock's EMA price changes with
time).
|
. . . |
|
|
| Price
/ Share (13-day EMA) |
. . . |
02/08/2008: |
$81.25 |
| Price
/ Share (50-day EMA) |
. . . |
02/08/2008: |
$78.28 |
| Price
/ Share (13-day EMA) |
. . . |
|
Current:
|
| Price
/ Share (50-day EMA) |
. . . |
|
Current: |
| Price
/ Share (Current) |
. . . |
Current Price |
Quote |
| Price
/ Share (Historical) |
. . . |
Historical Price |
Quote |
SPECIAL NOTE:
1. Ritchie
Bros. announces record-breaking $3.18B 2007 gross auction
proceeds.(Business Wire,
December 20, 2007).
2. Ritchie Bros. Auctioneers results show continued strength with record
9-month performance of $59 million.
(SmartBrief;
October 30, 2007). 3.
Analysts boosts Ritchie Bros. 12-month share target to $80 from $72.
(Seeking
Alpha; November 1, 2007).
4. Analysts still bullish on Ritchie Bros. Auctioneers.
(Seeking
Alpha; January 6, 2008)
5.
Report names Ritchie Bros. among key investment opportunities in Canada's
infrastructure and
construction boom.
(CNW
Group; January 8, 2008).
^Top page
Companhia Siderurgica Nacional ADS (NYSE: SID) is
the second largest fully integrated steel producer in Brazil and one of the
largest in Latin America in terms of crude steel production. SID's
current annual crude steel capacity and rolled product capacity is 5.6 million
and 5.1 million tons, respectively. Production of crude steel and rolled steel
products decreased in 2006 to 3.5 million and 4.2 million tons, respectively.
SID's fully-integrated manufacturing
facilities produce a broad line of steel products, including slabs, hot- and
cold-rolled, galvanized and tin mill products for the distribution,
packaging, automotive, home appliance and construction industries. In 2006,
SID accounted for approximately 42.0% of the galvanized steel products
sold in Brazil. SID is also one of the world’s leading producers of tin
mill products for packaging containers. In 2006, SID accounted for
approximately 98% of the tin mill products sold in Brazil.
SID produce carbon steel, which is the world’s most widely produced type
of steel, representing the vast bulk of global steel consumption. From
carbon steel, SID sell a variety of steel products, both domestically and
abroad, to manufacturers in several industries. SID have captive iron ore
reserves, which differentiates the company from their main competitors in Brazil
that purchase their iron ore requirements from mining companies. In addition to
its iron ore reserves, SID have captive dolomite and limestone mines that
supply its Presidente Vargas steelworks. SID's operations are strongly
integrated as a result of its captive sources of raw materials, such as iron ore
and cole, and its access to owned infrastructure, such as railroads and deep-
sea water port facilities.
The
stock's price gained 40.4% over the past 3 months (vs. the Industry's 1.1%);
127.7% over the past 6 months (vs. the Industry's 171.2%); and 181.4% over
the past 12 months (vs. the Industry's 235.9%). SID
is classified as a
large-cap company (with a market cap of $27.19B) that is rated to
outperform the market over the next six months with a Risk Level of 3 (Average).
SID
was incorporated in Brazil in 1941 and its principal executive offices
are located at Sao Paulo, Brazil..
SID
has
13,659 employees.
Sector: Basic
Material; Industry:
Iron & Steel; Ticker:SID;
Exch:
NYSE;
02/15/08 Closing Price: $35.33
STOCK GRADE (ASG): 45.90 (GOOD)
BUSINESS & FINANCIAL SUMMARY;
KEY STATS
(Yahoo)
EXPANDED BUSINESS DESCRIPTION
(Reuters)
STOCK INFO/RESEARCH
(MSN)
COMPETITORS
(CNN Money)
OWNERSHIP
(MSN)
KEY DEVELOPMENTS
(MSN),
RECENT NEWS
(MSN) &
HEADLINES (Yahoo)
HISTORICAL PRICES (Yahoo)
&
PRICE CHART
(IQChart)
RISK LEVEL: 3
(Average)
(MSN)
COMPANY'S WEB SITE
|
Management's Effectiveness (Trailing
12 Mo.) |
. . . |
Return on Equity: |
31.94% |
|
Profitability (Trailing
12 Mo.) |
. . . |
Profit Margin: |
22.70% |
|
Stock's Growth Record
(Trailing
12 Mo.) |
. . . |
Revenue: |
50.94% |
|
. . . |
EPS: |
61.56% |
|
. . . |
Price: |
181.44% |
|
. . . |
Dividend: |
-1.11 |
| PE & EPS (Trailing 12 Mo.) |
. . . |
Price/Earnings: |
19.10 |
|
. . . |
Earnings/Share: |
1.85 |
|
Price / Share (Pick Date, Closing Price) |
. . . |
Pick Date 02/15/2008: |
$35.33 |
COMMENT: The stock's pick price (of $35.33) is over the 13- and 50-day EMA price range; i.e.,
higher than
the 13-day EMA price
(of $32.83)
and 50-day EMA (of $29.71) by 7.63% and18.92% respectively. This suggests that the pick price
is
presently NOT timely NOR advantageous buy
price for the stock. (Note: A stock's EMA price changes with
time).
|
. . . |
|
|
| Price
/ Share (13-day EMA) |
. . . |
02/15/2008: |
$32.83 |
| Price
/ Share (50-day EMA) |
. . . |
02/15/2008: |
$29.71 |
| Price
/ Share (13-day EMA) |
. . . |
|
Current:
|
| Price
/ Share (50-day EMA) |
. . . |
|
Current: |
| Price
/ Share (Current) |
. . . |
Current Price |
Quote |
| Price
/ Share (Historical) |
. . . |
Historical Price |
Quote |
SPECIAL NOTE:
1. Steel makers bend, but did not break
as demand drives prices higher.(Investors
Business Daily; February 6, 2008).
2. Brazil's 7 chemical energy and mining stocks.
(Seeking
Alpha; January 8, 2008). 3.
South America's best stocks.
(Motley
Fool; January 2, 2008).
4. Brazil's booming mining industry.
(Forbes;
October 11, 2007)
^Top page
CF Industries Inc. (NYSE: CF)
is one of the largest
manufacturers and distributors of nitrogen and phosphate fertilizer products in
North America. CF's operations are organized into two business segments: the
nitrogen fertilizer business and the phosphate fertilizer business. CF's
principal products in the nitrogen fertilizer business are ammonia, urea and
urea ammonium nitrate solution (UAN). CF's principal products in the phosphate
fertilizer business are diammonium phosphate (DAP) and monoammonium phosphate
(MAP). For the twelve months ended June 30, 2005, CF supplied approximately 24%
of the nitrogen and approximately 12% of the phosphate used in agricultural
fertilizer applications in the United States. CF's core market and distribution
facilities are concentrated in the mid-western U.S. grain-producing states.
CF's principal assets include: the largest nitrogen fertilizer complex in North
America (Donaldsonville, Louisiana); a 66% economic interest in the largest
nitrogen fertilizer complex in Canada; one of the largest integrated ammonium
phosphate fertilizer complexes in the United States (Plant City, Florida); the
most-recently constructed phosphate rock mine and associated beneficiation plant
in the United States (Hardee County, Florida); and an extensive system of
terminals, warehouses and associated transportation equipment located primarily
in the mid-western United States. For the year ended December 31, 2006, CF sold
6.3 million tons of nitrogen fertilizers and 2.1 million tons of phosphate
fertilizers, generating net sales of $1.9 billion. CF operate world-scale
nitrogen fertilizer production facilities in Donaldsonville, Louisiana and
Medicine Hat, Alberta, Canada. The combined production capacity of these two
facilities represents approximately 20% of North American ammonia capacity, 32%
of North American dry urea capacity and 18% of North American UAN capacity in
2006.
The
stock's price gained 53.0% over the past 3 months (vs. the Industry's 103.9%);
99.2% over the past 6 months (vs. the Industry's 218.2%); and 224.7% over
the past 12 months (vs. the Industry's 372.3%). CF
is classified as a
mid-cap growth company (with a market cap of $7.04B) that is rated to
outperform the market over the next six months with a Risk Level of 2 (Less than
average).
CF
was founded in 1946 as a fertilizer brokerage operation by a group of regional
agricultural cooperatives seeking to pool their purchasing power. CF's principal executive offices
are located at Long Grove, Illinois.
CF
has
1,400 employees.
Sector:
Basic
Material;
Industry: Chemical Manufacturing;
Ticker: CF;
Exch:
NYSE;
02/22/08 Closing Price:
$125.86
STOCK GRADE (ASG): 48.20 (GOOD)
BUSINESS & FINANCIAL SUMMARY;
KEY STATS
(Yahoo)
EXPANDED BUSINESS DESCRIPTION
(Reuters)
STOCK INFO/RESEARCH
(MSN)
COMPETITORS
(CNN Money)
OWNERSHIP
(MSN)
KEY DEVELOPMENTS
(MSN),
RECENT NEWS
(MSN) &
HEADLINES (Yahoo)
HISTORICAL PRICES (Yahoo)
&
PRICE CHART
(IQChart)
RISK LEVEL: 3
(Average)
(MSN)
COMPANY'S WEB SITE
|
Management's Effectiveness (Trailing
12 Mo.) |
. . . |
Return on Equity: |
38.15% |
|
Profitability (Trailing
12 Mo.) |
. . . |
Profit Margin: |
13.52% |
|
Stock's Growth Record
(Trailing
12 Mo.) |
. . . |
Revenue: |
35.60% |
|
. . . |
EPS: |
987.63% |
|
. . . |
Price: |
224.72% |
|
. . . |
Dividend: |
100.00% |
| PE & EPS (Trailing 12 Mo.) |
. . . |
Price/Earnings: |
19.15 |
|
. . . |
Earnings/Share: |
6.57 |
|
Price / Share (Pick Date, Closing Price) |
. . . |
Pick Date 02/22/2008: |
$125.86 |
COMMENT: The stock's pick price (of $125.86) is over the 13- and 50-day EMA price range; i.e.,
higher than
the 13-day EMA price
(of $117.69)
and 50-day EMA (of $107.13) by 6.94% and 17.49% respectively. This suggests that the pick price
is
presently NOT timely NOR advantageous buy
price for the stock. (Note: A stock's EMA price changes with
time).
|
. . . |
|
|
| Price
/ Share (13-day EMA) |
. . . |
02/22/2008: |
$117.69 |
| Price
/ Share (50-day EMA) |
. . . |
02/22/2008: |
$107.13 |
| Price
/ Share (13-day EMA) |
. . . |
|
Current:
|
| Price
/ Share (50-day EMA) |
. . . |
|
Current: |
| Price
/ Share (Current) |
. . . |
Current Price |
Quote |
| Price
/ Share (Historical) |
. . . |
Historical Price |
Quote |
SPECIAL NOTE:
1. Growth areas: Seeds and fertilizers.
(U.S.
News & World Report; January 24, 2008).
2. CF Industries reports
best-ever net income for 4th quarter 2007. (Business
Wire; February 7, 2008).
3. Four sectors that defied the February sell-off, should outperform the market.
(The
Street.com; February 11, 2008).
4. Agri suppliers - 2008's standout high growth industries.
(Zacks.com;
February 19 2008).
5.
Potash CEO says "crop boom just beginning", fertilizer makers gain.
(Bloomberg.com;
February 24, 2008).
^Top page
Compass Minerals International Inc. (NYSE: CMP)
is the second-leading
salt producer in North America and the largest in the United Kingdom.
CMP
currently operate 10 production and packaging facilities, including the largest
rock salt mine in the world in Ontario and the largest salt mine in the United
Kingdom. Our product lines include salt, consisting of sodium chloride and
magnesium chloride, which is used for highway deicing, dust control, consumer
deicing, water conditioning, consumer and industrial food preparation,
agriculture and industrial applications. In addition,
CMP
is North America’s leading producer of sulfate of potash "SOP"), which is used
in the production of specialty fertilizers for high-value crops and turf.
CMP's
North American salt mines and SOP production facility are near either water or
rail transport systems, which reduces our shipping and handling costs.
The salt industry is characterized by stable demand and steady price increases
across various grades. Salt is one of the most common and
widely consumed minerals in the world due to its low relative cost and its
utility in a variety of applications, including highway deicing, food
processing, water conditioning, industrial chemical processing, and nutritional
supplements for animal stock.
CMP estimate that the consumption of
highway deicing salt in North America is 25 million tons per year (20 million
tons per year in the markets we serve), while the consumer and
industrial market totals 11 million tons per year. In the United Kingdom,
CMP
estimate that the size of the highway deicing market is 1.9 million tons per
year. According to the latest available data from the U.S. Geological Survey, during the thirty-year period ending 2004, the
production of salt used in highway deicing and for consumer and industrial
products in the United States has increased at an historical average of
approximately 1% per year.
The
stock's price gained 55.0% over the past 3 months (vs. the Industry's 98.4%);
67.1% over the past 6 months (vs. the Industry's 287.0%); and 74.5% over
the past 12 months (vs. the Industry's 555.6%).
CMP is classified as a
mid-cap growth company (with a market cap of $1.84B) that is rated to
outperform the market over the next six months with a Risk Level of 2 (Less than
average).
CMP became a standalone entity on 2001 through a leveraged recapitalization
through which Apollo Management V, L.P. acquired control of the Company.
CMP principal executive offices
are located at Overland Park, Kansas.
CMP
has
1,588 employees.
Sector:
Basic
Material;
Industry: Non-Metallic Mining;
Ticker: CMP;
Exch:
NYSE;
02/29/08 Closing Price:
$56.92
STOCK GRADE (ASG): 48.96 (GOOD)
BUSINESS & FINANCIAL SUMMARY;
KEY STATS
(Yahoo)
EXPANDED BUSINESS DESCRIPTION
(Reuters)
STOCK INFO/RESEARCH
(MSN)
COMPETITORS
(CNN Money)
OWNERSHIP
(MSN)
KEY DEVELOPMENTS
(MSN),
RECENT NEWS
(MSN) &
HEADLINES (Yahoo)
HISTORICAL PRICES (Yahoo)
&
PRICE CHART
(IQChart)
RISK LEVEL: 2
(Less than average)
(MSN)
COMPANY'S WEB SITE
|
Management's Effectiveness (Trailing
12 Mo.) |
. . . |
Return on Equity: |
NA |
|
Profitability (Trailing
12 Mo.) |
. . . |
Profit Margin: |
9.33% |
|
Stock's Growth Record
(Trailing
12 Mo.) |
. . . |
Revenue: |
29.76% |
|
. . . |
EPS: |
43.96% |
|
. . . |
Price: |
74.49% |
|
. . . |
Dividend: |
4.92% |
| PE & EPS (Trailing 12 Mo.) |
. . . |
Price/Earnings: |
23.43 |
|
. . . |
Earnings/Share: |
2.43 |
|
Price / Share (Pick Date, Closing Price) |
. . . |
Pick Date 02/29/2008: |
$56.92 |
COMMENT: The stock's pick price (of $56.92) is over the 13- and 50-day EMA price range; i.e.,
higher than
the 13-day EMA price
(of $54.65)
and 50-day EMA (of $46.80) by 4.14% and 22.14% respectively. This suggests that the pick price
is
presently NOT timely NOR advantageous buy
price for the stock. (Note: A stock's EMA price changes with
time).
|
. . . |
|
|
| Price
/ Share (13-day EMA) |
. . . |
02/29/2008: |
$54.65 |
| Price
/ Share (50-day EMA) |
. . . |
02/29/2008: |
$46.60 |
| Price
/ Share (13-day EMA) |
. . . |
|
Current:
|
| Price
/ Share (50-day EMA) |
. . . |
|
Current: |
| Price
/ Share (Current) |
. . . |
Current Price |
Quote |
| Price
/ Share (Historical) |
. . . |
Historical Price |
Quote |
SPECIAL NOTE:
1. Compass Minerals reports
record full-year sales, earnings and cash flow
(MSN
Money; February 11, 2008).
2. A stock for all season. (Motley
Fool; February 13, 2008).
3. A cold, icy winter translates into a hot year for salt miner's profits.
(Investors
Business Daily; February 23, 2008).
^Top page
|
March
2008 Stock Picks |
| Stock Name |
SYM |
Exch. |
Sector |
Industry |
Date Picked |
Pick Price (per share) |
ASG |
|
Comp De Minas Buenaventura S.A. Ads |
BVN |
NYSE |
Basic Materials
|
Gold & Silver |
03/07/08 |
$75.77 |
47.43 (Good) |
|
Mechel Steel Group OAO |
MTL |
NYSE |
Basic Materials
|
Iron & Steel |
03/14/08 |
$137.24 |
48.20 (Good) |
Comp
De Minas Buenaventura S.A. Ads (NYSE: BVN)
is Peru's largest publicly-traded precious metals company, and is engaged in the
exploration, mining and processing of gold, silver and, to a lesser extent,
other metals, in Peru.
BVN currently operate the Julcani, Recuperada, Orcopampa, Uchucchacua, Antapite and
Ishihuinca mines and have controlling interests in two other mining companies
which operate the Colquijirca, and Shila-Paula mines.
BVN also own an electric power transmission company and an engineering services
consulting company and have minority interests in several other mining
companies, including a significant ownership interest in Yanacocha, a Peruvian
partnership that operates South America's largest gold mine,
and Cerro Verde, a Peruvian company that operates a copper mine located in the
south of Peru.
BVN's equity share of production in 2006 was 1,546,000 ounces of gold, 17,027,000
ounces of silver, 33,000 short tons of metallic zinc and 20,509 short
tons of copper, including 1,140,000 ounces of gold and 1,596,000 ounces of
silver for Yanacocha and 20,509 short tons of copper for Cerro Verde. For the
year ended December 31, 2006,
BVN's net sales were US$548.1 million and its net income was US$428.1 million.
The
stock's price gained 37.3% over the past 3 months (vs. the Industry's 45.6%);
78.7% over the past 6 months (vs. the Industry's 94.2%); and 178.0% over
the past 12 months (vs. the Industry's 137.3%).
BVN is classified as a
mid-cap growth company (with a market cap of $14.45B) that is rated to
outperform the market over the next six months with a Risk Level of 2 (Less than
average).
BVN was originally established in 1953. BVN's registered office is located at Lima Peru.
BVN
has
2,487 employees.
Sector:
Basic
Material;
Industry:
Gold & Silver;
Ticker: BVN;
Exch:
NYSE;
03/07/08 Closing Price:
$75.77
STOCK GRADE (ASG): 47.43 (GOOD)
BUSINESS & FINANCIAL SUMMARY;
KEY STATS
(Yahoo)
EXPANDED BUSINESS DESCRIPTION
(Reuters)
STOCK INFO/RESEARCH
(MSN)
COMPETITORS
(CNN Money)
OWNERSHIP
(MSN)
KEY DEVELOPMENTS
(MSN),
RECENT NEWS
(MSN) &
HEADLINES (Yahoo)
HISTORICAL PRICES (Yahoo)
&
PRICE CHART
(IQChart)
RISK LEVEL: 2
(Less than average)
(MSN)
COMPANY'S WEB SITE
|
Management's Effectiveness (Trailing
12 Mo.) |
. . . |
Return on Equity: |
28.45% |
|
Profitability (Trailing
12 Mo.) |
. . . |
Profit Margin: |
13.77% |
|
Stock's Growth Record
(Trailing
12 Mo.) |
. . . |
Revenue: |
77.80% |
|
. . . |
EPS: |
44.73% |
|
. . . |
Price: |
177.95% |
|
. . . |
Dividend: |
68.45% |
| PE & EPS (Trailing 12 Mo.) |
. . . |
Price/Earnings: |
15.94 |
|
. . . |
Earnings/Share: |
6.53 |
|
Price / Share (Pick Date, Closing Price) |
. . . |
Pick Date 03/07/2008: |
$75.77 |
COMMENT: The stock's pick price (of $75.77) is over the 13- and 50-day EMA price range; i.e.,
higher than the 13-day EMA price
(of $74.73)
and 50-day EMA (of $67.81) by 1.40% and 11.75% respectively. This suggests that the pick price
is
presently NOT timely NOR advantageous buy
price for the stock. (Note: A stock's EMA price changes with
time).
|
. . . |
|
|
| Price
/ Share (13-day EMA) |
. . . |
03/07/2008: |
$74.73 |
| Price
/ Share (50-day EMA) |
. . . |
03/07/2008: |
$67.81 |
| Price
/ Share (13-day EMA) |
. . . |
|
Current:
|
| Price
/ Share (50-day EMA) |
. . . |
|
Current: |
| Price
/ Share (Current) |
. . . |
Current Price |
Quote |
| Price
/ Share (Historical) |
. . . |
Historical Price |
Quote |
SPECIAL NOTE:
Mechel Steel Group OAO (NYSE: MTL)
is a low-cost integrated
mining and steel group with revenues of $4.4 billion in 2006.
MTL's steel
business comprises the production and sale of semi-finished steel products,
carbon and specialty long products, carbon and stainless flat products and
value-added downstream metal products including hardware, stampings and
forgings. It also produces significant amounts of coke, both for internal use
and for sales to third parties.
MTL is the largest and most comprehensive
producer of specialty steels and alloys in Russia, producing 39% of total
Russian specialty steel output in 2006.
MTL is also the third largest producer
in Russia of long products.
MTL's mining business is focused on mining products used in the production of
steel, primarily coking coal, iron ore and nickel.
MTL also produce a
significant amount of steam coal.
MTL have substantial coal, iron ore and nickel
mining interests in Russia, with the flexibility to supply its own steel
production or sell to third parties.
MTL is capable of internally sourcing 80%
of the coking coal, 40% of the iron ore and 67% of the nickel requirements of
its steel segment.
MTL is the third largest producer of coking coal in Russia in
2006, with a 13.8% market share, and Russia’s second largest exporter of coking
coal and coal concentrate.
MTL also control 20% of the coking coal washing
capacity in Russia.
The
stock's price gained 47.7% over the past 3 months (vs. the Industry's 35.8%);
190.6% over the past 6 months (vs. the Industry's 143.5%); and 344.7% over
the past 12 months (vs. the Industry's 372.5%).
MTL is classified as a
large-cap growth company (with a market cap of $19.04B) that is rated to
outperform the market over the next six months with a Risk Level of 3 (Average).
MTL was
incorporated on 2003, under the laws of the Russian Federation. MTL's
principal executive offices are located at Moscow, Russian Federation.
MTL
has
76,566 employees.
Sector:
Basic
Material;
Industry: Iron & Steel;
Ticker:
MTL;
Exch:
NYSE;
03/14/08
Closing Price:
$137.24
STOCK GRADE (ASG): 48.20 (GOOD)
BUSINESS & FINANCIAL SUMMARY;
KEY STATS
(Yahoo)
EXPANDED BUSINESS DESCRIPTION
(Reuters)
STOCK INFO/RESEARCH
(MSN)
COMPETITORS
(CNN Money)
OWNERSHIP
(MSN)
KEY DEVELOPMENTS
(MSN),
RECENT NEWS
(MSN) &
HEADLINES (Yahoo)
HISTORICAL PRICES (Yahoo)
&
PRICE CHART
(IQChart)
RISK LEVEL: 3
(Average)
(MSN)
COMPANY'S WEB SITE
|
Management's Effectiveness (Trailing
12 Mo.) |
. . . |
Return on Equity: |
31.76% |
|
Profitability (Trailing
12 Mo.) |
. . . |
Profit Margin: |
15.88% |
|
Stock's Growth Record
(Trailing
12 Mo.) |
. . . |
Revenue: |
15.58% |
|
. . . |
EPS: |
55.38% |
|
. . . |
Price: |
326.02% |
|
. . . |
Dividend: |
-4.17% |
| PE & EPS (Trailing 12 Mo.) |
. . . |
Price/Earnings: |
20.32 |
|
. . . |
Earnings/Share: |
6.75 |
|
Price / Share (Pick Date, Closing Price) |
. . . |
Pick Date 03/14/2008: |
$137.24 |
COMMENT: The stock's pick price (of $137.24) is over the 13- and 50-day EMA price range; i.e.,
higher than
the 13-day EMA price
(of $132.21)
and 50-day EMA (of $114.02) by 3.80% and 20.36% respectively. This suggests that the pick price
is
presently NOT timely NOR advantageous buy
price for the stock. (Note: A stock's EMA price changes with
time).
|
. . . |
|
|
| Price
/ Share (13-day EMA) |
. . . |
03/14/2008: |
$132.21 |
| Price
/ Share (50-day EMA) |
. . . |
03/14/2008: |
$114.02 |
| Price
/ Share (13-day EMA) |
. . . |
|
Current:
|
| Price
/ Share (50-day EMA) |
. . . |
|
Current: |
| Price
/ Share (Current) |
. . . |
Current Price |
Quote |
| Price
/ Share (Historical) |
. . . |
Historical Price |
Quote
|
SPECIAL NOTE:
1. Mechel 9-months net rises
89.7%, revenue up 47.9%.
(Forbes;
December 11, 2007)
2. From Russia with love and plenty of pit. (Seeking
Alpha; Decmber 26, 2007)
3. Best Stocks for 2008: Mining for value at Russia's Mechel.
(BloggingStocks;
December 28, 2007) 4.
Compelling opportunities for investors in Emerging Markets.
(Barrons;
March 10, 2008).
^Top page
|
April
2008 Stock Picks |
| Stock Name |
SYM |
Exch. |
Sector |
Industry |
Date Picked |
Pick Price (per share) |
ASG |
|
Perrigo Co |
PRGO |
NASD |
Healthcare
|
Biotechnology & Drugs |
04/04/08 |
$39.48 |
45.90 (Good) |
|
Consol Energy Inc |
CNX |
NYSE |
Energy
|
Coal |
04/11/08 |
$75.63 |
47.43 (Good) |
|
Apache Corp. |
APA |
NYSE |
Energy
|
Oil & Gas Operations |
04/18/08 |
$142.51 |
55.08 (Very Good) |
Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. |
CLF |
NYSE |
Basic Materials
|
Metal Mining |
04/25/08 |
$162.32 |
48.96 (Good) |
Perrigo Co. (NASD: PRGO)
is a global healthcare
supplier that develops, manufactures and distributes over-the-counter (OTC) and
prescription
pharmaceuticals, nutritional products, active pharmaceutical ingredients (API)
and consumer products. The Company is the world's largest
manufacturer of OTC pharmaceutical products for the store brand market. The
Company's primary markets and locations of manufacturing and logistics
operations are the United States, Israel, Mexico and the United Kingdom.
Company has three reportable segments, aligned primarily by product:
Consumer Healthcare, Prescription (Rx) Pharmaceuticals and API.
The Consumer Healthcare segment includes the Company's U.S., U.K. and Mexico
operations supporting the sale of OTC pharmaceutical and nutritional
products. This segment markets a broad line of products that are comparable in
quality and effectiveness to national brand products. Major product
categories include analgesic, cough/cold/allergy/sinus, gastrointestinal,
smoking cessation, first aid, vitamin and nutritional supplement
products Generally, the retailers' dollar profit per unit of store brand
product sold is greater than the dollar profit per unit of the comparable
national brand product. The consumer benefits by receiving a quality product at
a price below a comparable national brand product. The Prescription
(RX) Pharmaceuticals segment develops, manufactures and markets primarily
topical generic prescription drug products, generally for the U.S.
market. The API segment develops, manufactures and markets API used worldwide
by the generic drug industry and branded pharmaceutical companies. The manufacturing of these API occurs primarily in Israel and Germany.
The
stock's price gained 19.5% over the past 3 months (vs. the Industry's 37.2%);
84.4% over the past 6 months (vs. the Industry's 13.8%); and 116.7% over
the past 12 months (vs. the Industry's 14.2%). The Company is classified as a
mid-cap growth company (with a market cap of $3.67B) that is rated to
outperform the market over the next six months with a Risk Level of 2 (Less than
average). The Company was
established on 1887, and its
principal executive offices are located at Allegan, Michigan.
The Company
has
6,200 employees.
Sector:
Healthcare;
Industry:
Biotechnology & Drugs;
Ticker:
PRGO;
Exch:
NASD;
04/04/08
Closing Price:
$39.48
STOCK GRADE (ASG): 45.90 (GOOD)
BUSINESS & FINANCIAL SUMMARY;
KEY STATS
(Yahoo)
EXPANDED BUSINESS DESCRIPTION
(Reuters)
STOCK INFO/RESEARCH
(MSN)
COMPETITORS
(CNN Money)
OWNERSHIP
(MSN)
KEY DEVELOPMENTS
(MSN),
RECENT NEWS
(MSN) &
HEADLINES (Yahoo)
HISTORICAL PRICES (Yahoo)
&
PRICE CHART
(IQChart)
RISK LEVEL: 2
(Less than average)
(MSN)
COMPANY'S WEB SITE
|
Management's Effectiveness (Trailing
12 Mo.) |
. . . |
Return on Equity: |
13.81% |
|
Profitability (Trailing
12 Mo.) |
. . . |
Profit Margin: |
6.70% |
|
Stock's Growth Record
(Trailing
12 Mo.) |
. . . |
Revenue: |
5.90% |
|
. . . |
EPS: |
3.69% |
|
. . . |
Price: |
116.68% |
|
. . . |
Dividend: |
5.95% |
| PE & EPS (Trailing 12 Mo.) |
. . . |
Price/Earnings: |
35.86 |
|
. . . |
Earnings/Share: |
1.10 |
|
Price / Share (Pick Date, Closing Price) |
. . . |
Pick Date 04/04/2008: |
$39.48 |
COMMENT: The stock's pick price (of $39.48) is over the 13- and 50-day EMA price range; i.e.,
higher than
the 13-day EMA price
(of $37.88)
and 50-day EMA (of $35.37) by 4.22% and 11.63% respectively. This suggests that the pick price
is
presently NOT timely NOR advantageous buy
price for the stock. (Note: A stock's EMA price changes with
time).
|
. . . |
|
|
| Price
/ Share (13-day EMA) |
. . . |
04/04/2008: |
$37.88 |
| Price
/ Share (50-day EMA) |
. . . |
04/04/2008: |
$35.37 |
| Price
/ Share (13-day EMA) |
. . . |
|
Current:
|
| Price
/ Share (50-day EMA) |
. . . |
|
Current: |
| Price
/ Share (Current) |
. . . |
Current Price |
Quote |
| Price
/ Share (Historical) |
. . . |
Historical Price |
Quote
|
SPECIAL NOTE:
1. Perrigo's second quarter
profits jumps 63% to $34M.
(Business
Review; March 13, 2008) 2. Perrigo catching a ride on a new $15B generic RX market.
(Detroit
News; February 8 2008)
^Top page
Consol Energy Inc. (NYSE:
CNX)
is a multi-fuel energy producer and energy services provider primarily serving
the electric power generation industry in the United States. That industry
generates approximately two-thirds of its output by burning coal or gas, the two
fuels produced by Consol. Consol has two principal business units: Coal
and Gas. The principal activities of the Coal unit are mining, preparation and
marketing of steam coal, sold primarily to power generators, and metallurgical
coal, sold to metal and coke producers. During the year ended December 31, 2006,
Consol produced high-Btu bituminous coal from 17 mining complexes in the United
States. Coal produced from Consol's mines has a high-Btu content which creates
more energy
per unit when burned compared to coals with lower Btu content. As a result,
coals with greater Btu content can be more efficient to use. Consol is the
majority shareholder (81.5%) of CNX Gas Corporation. CNX Gas produces
pipeline-quality coalbed methane gas from its coal properties in Pennsylvania,
Virginia and West Virginia and oil and gas from properties in Tennessee and
Virginia. Consol projects that the use of coal and gas to generate electricity
will grow as demand for power increases.
Historically, Consol rank among the largest coal producers in the United States
based upon total revenue, net income and operating cash flow. Consol's
production of approximately 67 million tons of coal in 2006 accounted for
approximately 6% of the total tons produced in the United States and
approximately 14% of the total tons produced east of the Mississippi River
during 2006. Consol is one of the premier coal producers in the United States by
several measures: mined more high-Btu bituminous coal than any other United
States producer; largest coal producer east of the Mississippi River; second
largest amount of recoverable coal reserves among United States coal producers;
and largest United States producer of coal from underground mines. CNX Gas also
ranks as one of the largest coal bed methane gas companies in the United States
based on both their proved reserves and their current daily production.
Additionally, Consol' provide energy services, including river and dock services,
terminal services, industrial supply services, coal waste disposal services and
land resource services.
The
stock's price gained 15.9% over the past 3 months (vs. the Industry's 53.5%);
50.2% over the past 6 months (vs. the Industry's -19.1%); and 7.8% over
the past 12 months (vs. the Industry's 162.5%). The Company
is classified as a large-cap growth company (with a market cap of $14.22B) that
is rated to outperform the market over the next six months with a Risk Level of
2 (Less than average). The Company was organized on 1991, and its
principal executive offices are located at Pittsburg, Pennsylvania.
The Company
has
7,728 employees.
Sector:
Energy;
Industry:
Coal;
Ticker: CNX;
Exch:
NYSE;
04/11/08
Closing Price:
$75.63
STOCK GRADE (ASG): 47.43 (GOOD)
BUSINESS & FINANCIAL SUMMARY;
KEY STATS
(Yahoo)
EXPANDED BUSINESS DESCRIPTION
(Reuters)
STOCK INFO/RESEARCH
(MSN)
COMPETITORS
(CNN Money)
OWNERSHIP
(MSN)
KEY DEVELOPMENTS
(MSN),
RECENT NEWS
(MSN) &
HEADLINES (Yahoo)
HISTORICAL PRICES (Yahoo)
&
PRICE CHART
(IQChart)
RISK LEVEL: 2
(Less than average)
(MSN)
COMPANY'S WEB SITE
|
Management's Effectiveness (Trailing
12 Mo.) |
. . . |
Return on Equity: |
23.48% |
|
Profitability (Trailing
12 Mo.) |
. . . |
Profit Margin: |
7.51% |
|
Stock's Growth Record
(Trailing
12 Mo.) |
. . . |
Revenue: |
1.27% |
|
. . . |
EPS: |
-33.98% |
|
. . . |
Price: |
77.83% |
|
. . . |
Dividend: |
10.71% |
| PE & EPS (Trailing 12 Mo.) |
. . . |
Price/Earnings: |
53.60 |
|
. . . |
Earnings/Share: |
1.45 |
|
Price / Share (Pick Date, Closing Price) |
. . . |
Pick Date 04/11/2008: |
$75.63 |
COMMENT: The stock's pick price (of $75.63) is over the 13- and 50-day EMA price range; i.e.,
higher than
the 13-day EMA price
(of $73.93)
and 50-day EMA (of $71.86) by 5.59% and 8.63% respectively. This suggests that the pick price
is
presently NOT timely NOR advantageous buy
price for the stock. (Note: A stock's EMA price changes with
time).
|
. . . |
|
|
| Price
/ Share (13-day EMA) |
. . . |
04/11/2008: |
$73.93 |
| Price
/ Share (50-day EMA) |
. . . |
04/11/2008: |
$71.86 |
| Price
/ Share (13-day EMA) |
. . . |
|
Current:
|
| Price
/ Share (50-day EMA) |
. . . |
|
Current: |
| Price
/ Share (Current) |
. . . |
Current Price |
Quote |
| Price
/ Share (Historical) |
. . . |
Historical Price |
Quote
|
SPECIAL NOTE:
1. Coal miners' rating upgraded.
(Seeking
Alpha; March 28, 2008)
2. Standout stocks in mining and
metals.
(Forbes;
March 15, 2008) 3.
Large-cap winners and losers in 2007.
(Forbes;
January 3, 2008)
4.
Coal: More than a black rock..
(Seeking
Alpha; May 22,2007) 5.
Consul Energy is an ACE'S re-pick: It was one of
ACE'S picks for July 2005.
^Top page
Apache
Corp. (NYSE:
APA)
is an independent energy company that explores for, develops and produces
natural gas, crude oil and natural gas liquids. In
North America, Apache's exploration and production interests are focused
in the Gulf of Mexico, the Gulf Coast, East Texas, the Permian basin, the
Anadarko basin and the Western Sedimentary basin of Canada. Outside of North
America, Apache have exploration and production interests onshore Egypt, offshore Western Australia, offshore the United Kingdom in the North Sea, and onshore Argentina. Apache's future growth in the
United States is more likely to be achieved through a combination of drilling
and acquisitions, rather than through drilling activity alone. In Canada, the
Company have almost seven million gross acres across the Provinces of
British Columbia, Alberta, Saskatchewan and the Northwest Territories.
In Egypt, the Qasr gas/condensate field, discovered in 2003, is the largest
field ever found by Apache with more than 2 trillion cubic feet of gas
and 60 million barrels of estimated recoverable reserves. In Australia, in the
Gippsland basin Apache acquired almost 1.8 million acres over the
past three years and have generated a 10-well inventory of high potential
exploration prospects to be drilled in 2008. Apache entered the North Sea
in 2003 with its acquisition of the Forties field, the largest field ever
discovered in the United Kingdom. In Argentina, in 2006, Apache purchased
interests in Neuquén, the Austral basins and in Tierra del Fuego. Apache
have increased production on the acquired properties and have established
Argentina as the Company's latest core area.
As of December 31, 2006, Apache had total estimated proved reserves of
1,061 MMbbls of crude oil, condensate and NGLs and 7.5 Tcf of natural gas.
Combined, these total estimated proved reserves are equivalent to 2.3 billion
barrels of oil equivalent or 13.9 Tcf of natural gas. During 2006,
the Company’s reserves grew nine percent. Proved oil and gas reserves are the estimated quantities of natural
gas, crude oil, condensate and NGLs that geological and engineering data
demonstrate with reasonable certainty to be recoverable in future years
from known reservoirs under existing economic and operating conditions.
Apache has increased reserves in each of the last 21 years and
production
in 27 of the last 28 years.
The
stock's price gained 48.7% over the past 3 months (vs. the Industry's 102.4%);
52.7% over the past 6 months (vs. the Industry's 77.6%); and 92.5% over
the past 12 months (vs. the Industry's 208.9%). The Company
is classified as a large-cap growth company (with a market cap of $47.45) that
is rated to outperform the market over the next six months with a Risk Level of
3 (average). The Company was formed on 1954, and its
principal executive offices are located at Houston, Texas.
The Company
has
3,521 employees.
Sector:
Energy;
Industry: Oil & Gas Operations;
Ticker: APA;
Exch:
NYSE;
04/18/08
Closing Price:
$142.51
STOCK GRADE (ASG): 55.08 (VERY GOOD)
BUSINESS & FINANCIAL SUMMARY;
KEY STATS
(Yahoo)
EXPANDED BUSINESS DESCRIPTION
(Reuters)
STOCK INFO/RESEARCH
(MSN)
COMPETITORS
(CNN Money)
OWNERSHIP
(MSN)
KEY DEVELOPMENTS
(MSN),
RECENT NEWS
(MSN) &
HEADLINES (Yahoo)
HISTORICAL PRICES (Yahoo)
&
PRICE CHART
(IQChart)
RISK LEVEL: 3
(Average)
(MSN)
COMPANY'S WEB SITE
|
Management's Effectiveness (Trailing
12 Mo.) |
. . . |
Return on Equity: |
19.69% |
|
Profitability (Trailing
12 Mo.) |
. . . |
Profit Margin: |
28.21% |
|
Stock's Growth Record
(Trailing
12 Mo.) |
. . . |
Revenue: |
20.38% |
|
. . . |
EPS: |
9.75% |
|
. . . |
Price: |
92.50% |
|
. . . |
Dividend: |
20.00% |
| PE & EPS (Trailing 12 Mo.) |
. . . |
Price/Earnings: |
16.99 |
|
. . . |
Earnings/Share: |
8.39 |
|
Price / Share (Pick Date, Closing Price) |
. . . |
Pick Date 04/18/2008: |
$142.51 |
COMMENT: The stock's pick price (of $142.51) is over the 13- and 50-day EMA price range; i.e.,
higher than
the 13-day EMA price
(of $133.35)
and 50-day EMA (of $120.25) by 6.81% and 18.51% respectively. This suggests that the pick price
is
presently NOT timely NOR advantageous buy
price for the stock. (Note: A stock's EMA price changes with
time).
|
. . . |
|
|
| Price
/ Share (13-day EMA) |
. . . |
04/18/2008: |
$133.35 |
| Price
/ Share (50-day EMA) |
. . . |
04/18/2008: |
$120.25 |
| Price
/ Share (13-day EMA) |
. . . |
|
Current:
|
| Price
/ Share (50-day EMA) |
. . . |
|
Current: |
| Price
/ Share (Current) |
. . . |
Current Price |
Quote |
| Price
/ Share (Historical) |
. . . |
Historical Price |
Quote
|
SPECIAL NOTE:
1. The energy sector's gains
outpace broad market.
(MarketWatch;
April 7, 2008)
2. Thriving on the crude's surge.
(Forbes; April 1, 2008) 3.
Top five large-cap stocks.
(TheStreet.com;
March 19, 2008) 4.
Apache doubles its 2007 4th quarter earnings.
(SmartBriefs;
February 8, 2008)
^Top page
Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (NYSE:
CLF)
is the largest producer
of iron ore pellets in North America. The Company sell substantially all
of its pellets to integrated
steel companies in the United States and Canada. Through a majority acquisition
of Portman, an iron ore mining company in Australia, the Company
increased its customer base in China and Japan and established a presence in the
Australian mining industry. The Company is organized into two
operating and reporting segments: North America and Australia. The North America
segment is comprised of the mining operations in the United States and Canada.
The Australia segment is comprised of our 80.4 percent Portman interest in
Western Australia.
The North America segment is comprised of six iron ore mining operations in
Michigan, Minnesota and Eastern Canada that currently have a combined rated capacity of
37.0 million tons of iron ore pellet production annually, representing
approximately 46 percent of total North American pellet production capacity. The
Company produce 13 grades of iron ore pellets, including standard, fluxed
and high manganese, for use in its customers’ blast furnaces as part of the
steelmaking process. More than 98 percent of the Company's North
American revenues are derived from sales of iron ore pellets to the North
American integrated steel industry, consisting of eight customers. The
Australian segment is comprised of two operations that supply a total of five
direct shipping export products to Asia via the global seaborne trade market. A
limited spot market exists for seaborne iron ore as most production is sold
under long-term contracts with annual benchmark prices driven from negotiations
between the major suppliers and Chinese, Japanese and other Asian steel mills.
The three major iron ore producers, CVRD, Rio Tinto and BHP, dominate the
seaborne iron ore trade and together account for approximately three-fourths of
the global supply to the seaborne market. Portman has long-term supply
agreements with steel producers in China and Japan that account for
approximately 80 percent and 20 percent, respectively, of sales.
The
stock's price gained 70.5% over the past 3 months (vs. the Industry's 146.3%);
65.3% over the past 6 months (vs. the Industry's 80.6%); and 135.3% over
the past 12 months (vs. the Industry's 362.4). The Company
is classified as a mid-cap growth company (with a market cap of $7.38B) that
is rated to outperform the market over the next six months with a Risk Level of
3 (average). The Company was founded on 18.47, and its
principal executive offices are located at Cleveland, Ohio.
The Company
has
5,298 employees.
Sector:
Basic Materials;
Industry: Metal Mining;
Ticker: CLF;
Exch:
NYSE;
04/25/08
Closing Price:
$163.32
STOCK GRADE (ASG): 48.96 (GOOD)
BUSINESS & FINANCIAL SUMMARY;
KEY STATS
(Yahoo)
EXPANDED BUSINESS DESCRIPTION
(Reuters)
STOCK INFO/RESEARCH
(MSN)
COMPETITORS
(CNN Money)
OWNERSHIP
(MSN)
KEY DEVELOPMENTS
(MSN),
RECENT NEWS
(MSN) &
HEADLINES (Yahoo)
HISTORICAL PRICES (Yahoo)
&
PRICE CHART
(IQChart)
RISK LEVEL: 3
(Average)
(MSN)
COMPANY'S WEB SITE
|
Management's Effectiveness (Trailing
12 Mo.) |
. . . |
Return on Equity: |
24.35% |
|
Profitability (Trailing
12 Mo.) |
. . . |
Profit Margin: |
11.87% |
|
Stock's Growth Record
(Trailing
12 Mo.) |
. . . |
Revenue: |
18.40% |
|
. . . |
EPS: |
5.14% |
|
. . . |
Price: |
135.30% |
|
. . . |
Dividend: |
5.26% |
| PE & EPS (Trailing 12 Mo.) |
. . . |
Price/Earnings: |
16.99 |
|
. . . |
Earnings/Share: |
31.76 |
|
Price / Share (Pick Date, Closing Price) |
. . . |
Pick Date 04/25/2008: |
$163.32 |
COMMENT: The stock's pick price (of $163.32) is over the 13- and 50-day EMA price range; i.e.,
higher than
the 13-day EMA price
(of $153.64)
and 50-day EMA (of $132.59) by 6.30% and 23.17% respectively. This suggests that the pick price
is
presently NOT timely NOR advantageous buy
price for the stock. (Note: A stock's EMA price changes with
time).
|
. . . |
|
|
| Price
/ Share (13-day EMA) |
. . . |
04/25/2008: |
$153.64 |
| Price
/ Share (50-day EMA) |
. . . |
04/25/2008: |
$132.59 |
| Price
/ Share (13-day EMA) |
. . . |
|
Current:
|
| Price
/ Share (50-day EMA) |
. . . |
|
Current: |
| Price
/ Share (Current) |
. . . |
Current Price |
Quote |
| Price
/ Share (Historical) |
. . . |
Historical Price |
Quote
|
SPECIAL NOTE:
1. Cleveland Cliffs rocks.
(Schaeffer's Research; April 23, 2008)
2. Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. reports
4th-quarter and full-year 2007 results.
(Business
Wire; February 21, 2008) 3.
Cleveland-Cliffs' mining is shining.
(SeekingAlpha;
October 19, 2007)
^Top page
|
May 2008 Stock
Picks |
| Stock Name |
SYM |
Exch. |
Sector |
Industry |
Date Picked |
Pick Price (per share) |
ASG |
|
EOG Resources Inc. |
EOG |
NYSE |
Energy
|
Oil & Gas Operations |
05/02/08 |
$127.75 |
54.32 (Very Good) |
|
Darling International Inc. |
DAR |
AMEX |
Consumer/Non-Cyclical
|
Food Processing |
05/09/08 |
$16.18 |
45.90 (Good) |
|
Agrium Inc. |
AGU |
NYSE |
Basic Materials
|
Chemical Manufacturing |
05/16/08 |
$16.18 |
50.49 (Very Good) |
|
Bucyrus International Inc. |
BUCY |
NASD |
Capital Goods
|
Construction & Agricultural Machinery |
05/23/08 |
$132.16 |
51.26 (Very Good) |
|
Southwestern Energy Co. |
SWN |
NYSE |
Energy
|
Oil & Gas Operations |
05/30/08 |
$44.34 |
48.20 (Good) |
EOG Resources Inc. (NYSE:
EOG)
is one of
the largest independent (non-integrated) oil and natural gas companies in the
United States. EOG
explores for, develops, produces and markets natural gas and crude oil in major
producing basins in the United States, Canada, offshore Trinidad, the United
Kingdom North Sea and select other international areas. As of December 31, 2006, EOG's total estimated net proved reserves were 6,802 billion cubic feet
equivalent (Bcfe), of which 6,095 billion cubic feet (Bcf) were natural gas
reserves and 118 million barrels (MMBbl), or 707 Bcfe, were crude oil,
condensate and natural gas liquids reserves. On the same latter date,
approximately 60% of EOG's reserves (on a natural gas equivalent basis) were
located in the United States, 20% in Canada and 20% in Trinidad.
EOG's operations are all related to natural gas and crude oil exploration and
production. As of December 31, 2006, 88% of EOG's net proved United States and
Canada reserves (on a natural gas equivalent basis) were natural gas and 12%
were crude oil, condensate and natural gas liquids.Substantial portions of these
reserves are in long-lived fields with well-established production
characteristics. EOG believes that opportunities exist to increase production
through continued development in and around many of these fields and through
application of new processes and technologies. EOG also maintains an active
exploration program designed to extend fields and add new trends to its broad
portfolio.
The
stock's price gained 51.0% over the past 3 months (vs. the Industry's 93.7%);
49.3% over the past 6 months (vs. the Industry's 50.5%); and 74.8% over
the past 12 months (vs. the Industry's 198.6%). The Company
is classified as a large-cap growth company (with a market cap of $31.71B) that
is rated to outperform the market over the next six months with a Risk Level of
2 (Less than average). The Company was organized on 1985, and its
principal executive offices are located at Houston texas.
The Company
has
1800 employees.
Sector:
Energy;
Industry:
Oil & Gas OPerations;
Ticker: EOG;
Exch:
NYSE;
05/02/08
Closing Price:
$127.75
STOCK GRADE (ASG): 54.32 (VERY GOOD)
BUSINESS & FINANCIAL SUMMARY;
KEY STATS
(Yahoo)
EXPANDED BUSINESS DESCRIPTION
(Reuters)
STOCK INFO/RESEARCH
(MSN)
COMPETITORS
(CNN Money)
OWNERSHIP
(MSN)
KEY DEVELOPMENTS
(MSN),
RECENT NEWS
(MSN) &
HEADLINES (Yahoo)
HISTORICAL PRICES (Yahoo)
&
PRICE CHART
(IQChart)
RISK LEVEL: 2
(Less than average)
(MSN)
COMPANY'S WEB SITE
|
Management's Effectiveness (Trailing
12 Mo.) |
. . . |
Return on Equity: |
17.31% |
|
Profitability (Trailing
12 Mo.) |
. . . |
Profit Margin: |
26.99% |
|
Stock's Growth Record
(Trailing
12 Mo.) |
. . . |
Revenue: |
7.11% |
|
. . . |
EPS: |
-16.48% |
|
. . . |
Price: |
82.21% |
|
. . . |
Dividend: |
50.00% |
| PE & EPS (Trailing 12 Mo.) |
. . . |
Price/Earnings: |
29.35 |
|
. . . |
Earnings/Share: |
4.37 |
|
Price / Share (Pick Date, Closing Price) |
. . . |
Pick Date 05/02/2008: |
$127.75 |
COMMENT: The stock's pick price (of $127.75) is under the 13- and over the 50-day EMA price range; i.e.,
lower than
the 13-day EMA price
(of $130.55)
and higher than the 50-day EMA (of $121.78) by -2.14% and 4.90% respectively. This suggests that the pick price
IS
presently timely AND advantageous buy
price for the stock. (Note: A stock's EMA price changes with
time).
|
. . . |
|
|
| Price
/ Share (13-day EMA) |
. . . |
05/02/2008: |
$130.55 |
| Price
/ Share (50-day EMA) |
. . . |
05/02/2008: |
$121.78 |
| Price
/ Share (13-day EMA) |
. . . |
|
Current:
|
| Price
/ Share (50-day EMA) |
. . . |
|
Current: |
| Price
/ Share (Current) |
. . . |
Current Price |
Quote |
| Price
/ Share (Historical) |
. . . |
Historical Price |
Quote
|
SPECIAL NOTE:
1.
Amex Natural Gas Index hits all-time high.
(MarketWatch;
February 28, 2008) 2.
EOG expects 36% production growth in North Dakota.
(SmartBrief;
February 21, 2008) 3. EOG
strikes oil.
(Forbes;
February 2, 2008) 4. EOG Resources is an ACE'S re-pick:
EOG was one of
ACE'S picks for December 2000.
As of May 2, 2008, the stock had a 7.33-year gain of 425% (or about 57.99%
annually). NOTE: Stocks historical prices were based on
Yahoo Finance's price table.
^Top page
Darling International Inc. (AMEX: DAR)
is
a leading provider of rendering, recycling and recovery solutions to the
nation’s food industry. The Company collects and recycles animal
by-products and used cooking oil from food service establishments and provides
grease trap cleaning services to many of the same establishments. The Company
processes raw materials at 39 facilities located throughout the United States
into finished products such as protein (primarily meat and bone meal), tallow
(primarily bleachable fancy tallow), yellow grease and
hides. The
Company sells these products nationally and internationally, primarily to
producers of oleo-chemicals, bio-fuels, soaps, pet foods, leather goods and
livestock feed for use as ingredients in their products or for further
processing.
Commencing in 1998, the Company's operations were organized into two
segments; Rendering segment, the core business of turning inedible food
by-products from meat and poultry processors into high quality feed ingredients
and fats for other industrial applications; and Restaurant Services segment, a
group focused on growing the grease collection business and grease collection
equipment sales while expanding the line of services, which includes grease trap
servicing, and the National Service Center (“NSC”), offered to food service
establishments and food processors. The NSC schedules services such as fat and
bone and used cooking oil collection as well as trap cleaning for contracted
customers using the Company's resources or third party providers.
The
stock's price gained 32.8% over the past 3 months (vs. the Industry's -4.4%);
62.3% over the past 6 months (vs. the Industry's -2.1%); and 95.9% over
the past 12 months (vs. the Industry's 21.6%). The Company
is classified as a mid-cap growth company (with a market cap of $1.32B) that
is rated to outperform the market over the next six months with a Risk Level of
3 (Average). The Company was incorporated in Delaware in 1962 under the
name “Darling-Delaware Company, Inc.”. The Company's
principal executive offices are located at Irving, Texas.
The Company
has
1880 employees.
Sector:
Consumer/Non-Cyclical;
Industry: Food Processing;
Ticker: DAR;
Exch: AMEX;
05/09/08
Closing Price: $16.18
STOCK GRADE (ASG): 45.90 (GOOD)
BUSINESS & FINANCIAL SUMMARY;
KEY STATS
(Yahoo)
EXPANDED BUSINESS DESCRIPTION
(Reuters)
STOCK INFO/RESEARCH
(MSN)
COMPETITORS
(CNN Money)
OWNERSHIP
(MSN)
KEY DEVELOPMENTS
(MSN),
RECENT NEWS
(MSN) &
HEADLINES (Yahoo)
HISTORICAL PRICES (Yahoo)
&
PRICE CHART
(IQChart)
RISK LEVEL: 3
(Average)
(MSN)
COMPANY'S WEB SITE
|
Management's Effectiveness (Trailing
12 Mo.) |
. . . |
Return on Equity: |
25.85% |
|
Profitability (Trailing
12 Mo.) |
. . . |
Profit Margin: |
7.06% |
|
Stock's Growth Record
(Trailing
12 Mo.) |
. . . |
Revenue: |
58.56% |
|
. . . |
EPS: |
719.32% |
|
. . . |
Price: |
101.96% |
|
. . . |
Dividend: |
NA |
| PE & EPS (Trailing 12 Mo.) |
. . . |
Price/Earnings: |
29.10 |
|
. . . |
Earnings/Share: |
0.56 |
|
Price / Share (Pick Date, Closing Price) |
. . . |
Pick Date 05/09/2008: |
$16.18 |
COMMENT: The stock's pick price (of $16.18) is over 13- and over the 50-day EMA price range; i.e.,
higher than
the 13-day EMA price
(of $15.51)
and higher than the 50-day EMA (of $14.22) by 15.52% and 14.22% respectively. This suggests that the pick price
is presently
NOT timely NOR advantageous buy
price for the stock. (Note: A stock's EMA price changes with
time).
|
. . . |
|
|
| Price
/ Share (13-day EMA) |
. . . |
05/09/2008: |
$15.51 |
| Price
/ Share (50-day EMA) |
. . . |
05/09/2008: |
$14.22 |
| Price
/ Share (13-day EMA) |
. . . |
|
Current:
|
| Price
/ Share (50-day EMA) |
. . . |
|
Current: |
| Price
/ Share (Current) |
. . . |
Current Price |
Quote |
| Price
/ Share (Historical) |
. . . |
Historical Price |
Quote
|
SPECIAL NOTE:
1.
Darling International Inc. have record results in Fiscal Year 2007.
(Smartbrief;
February 27, 2008) 2.
Technical trading alert: Darling International Inc.
(StockProfit.com;
February 4, 2008)
^Top page
Agrium Inc. (NYSE:
AGU)
is
a global producer and marketer of agricultural nutrients and industrial products
and a major retail supplier of agriculture products and services in both North
America and Argentina. The Company is one of the top two nitrogen
producers in the world with approximately three percent of the nitrogen market.
The Company produces a full range of fertilizers. Nitrogen-based
fertilizers are produced in Alberta, Canada at five plants. Sulphur and
phosphate-based fertilizers are also produced which utilizes phosphate ore from
Agrium’s phosphate mine located at Ontario. In the United States, the Company
owns and operates five nitrogen-based fertilizer production plants at Nebraska,
Texas, Alaska, Washington and California and one phosphate-based fertilizer
production facility at Idaho. The Company is also a 50 percent
participant in the Profertil joint venture that owns and operates a
nitrogen-based fertilizer plant in Argentina.
The Company manage and report its business through four primary operating
segments and a fifth non-operating segment. The four operating segments are:
North America Wholesale, North America Retail, South America Wholesale and South
America Retail. The primary operating segments act independently, serving
customers in agricultural, industrial, international and specialty markets. The Company's North America Retail segment is one of the largest and most
geographically diverse farm retailers in the United States. With 206 retail
facilities in the United States as of December 31, 2003, the Company
provides fertilizers, crop protection products, seeds and services to growers in
22 states, principally in the U.S. Northwest, Northeast, Midwest and California.
The Company also owns and operates 18 retail farm centers in
Argentina.
The
stock's price gained 37.3% over the past 3 months (vs. the Industry's 91.5%);
60.7% over the past 6 months (vs. the Industry's255.6%); and 134.4% over
the past 12 months (vs. the Industry's 705.4%). The Company
is classified as a large-cap growth company (with a market cap of $14.16B) that
is rated to outperform the market over the next six months with a Risk Level of
3 (Average). The Company was formed in 1993 from the reorganization of
the fertilizer division of Cominco Ltd. and the acquisition of the fertilizer
assets of Alberta Energy Company Ltd. The Company's
principal executive offices are located at Alberta, Calgary.
The Company
has
6,618 employees.
Sector:
Basic Materials;
Industry:
Chemical Manufacturing;
Ticker: AGU;
Exch: NYSE;
05/16/08
Closing Price:
$89.64
STOCK GRADE (ASG): 50.49 (VERY GOOD)
BUSINESS & FINANCIAL SUMMARY;
KEY STATS
(Yahoo)
EXPANDED BUSINESS DESCRIPTION
(Reuters)
STOCK INFO/RESEARCH
(MSN)
COMPETITORS
(CNN Money)
OWNERSHIP
(MSN)
KEY DEVELOPMENTS
(MSN),
RECENT NEWS
(MSN) &
HEADLINES (Yahoo)
HISTORICAL PRICES (Yahoo)
&
PRICE CHART
(IQChart)
RISK LEVEL: 3
(Average)
(MSN)
COMPANY'S WEB SITE
|
Management's Effectiveness (Trailing
12 Mo.) |
. . . |
Return on Equity: |
28.53% |
|
Profitability (Trailing
12 Mo.) |
. . . |
Profit Margin: |
11.65% |
|
Stock's Growth Record
(Trailing
12 Mo.) |
. . . |
Revenue: |
25.69% |
|
. . . |
EPS: |
891.91% |
|
. . . |
Price: |
134.41% |
|
. . . |
Dividend: |
NA |
| PE & EPS (Trailing 12 Mo.) |
. . . |
Price/Earnings: |
19.61 |
|
. . . |
Earnings/Share: |
4.54 |
|
Price / Share (Pick Date, Closing Price) |
. . . |
Pick Date 05/16/2008: |
$89.64 |
COMMENT: The stock's pick price (of $89.64 is over 13- and the 50-day EMA price range; i.e.,
higher than
the 13-day EMA price
(of $86.09)
and higher than the 50-day EMA (of $78.09) by 4.13% and 13.77% respectively. This suggests that the pick price
is presently
NOT timely NOR advantageous buy
price for the stock. (Note: A stock's EMA price changes with
time).
|
. . . |
|
|
| Price
/ Share (13-day EMA) |
. . . |
05/16/2008: |
$86.09 |
| Price
/ Share (50-day EMA) |
. . . |
05/16/2008: |
$78.79 |
| Price
/ Share (13-day EMA) |
. . . |
|
Current:
|
| Price
/ Share (50-day EMA) |
. . . |
|
Current: |
| Price
/ Share (Current) |
. . . |
Current Price |
Quote |
| Price
/ Share (Historical) |
. . . |
Historical Price |
Quote
|
SPECIAL NOTE:
1. Fertilizer prices doubled
in the last few months.
(Tennessean.com;
May 7 2008) 2.
Agrium had record 2008 1st quarter earnings.
(SmartBrief;
May 2 2008) 3.
Agrium hits paydirt.
(Forbes;
My 2, 2008) 4.
Major fertilizer producers reaps huge profits.
(International
Business Times; April 4, 2008)
5.
Agri stock leaders on bullish uptrends.
(SeekingAlpha;
March 17, 2008) 6.
A new "golden age" of agriculture.
(TheStar.com;
March 2, 2008)
^Top page
Bucyrus International Inc. (NASD:
BUCY)
design,
manufacture and market draglines, electric mining shovels and rotary blasthole
drills used for surface mining and provide the aftermarket replacement parts and
service for these machines. The Company have a large worldwide installed base of
the latter equipment and are the leading market provider of
draglines and large rotary blasthole drills. The Company's products are
sold to customers throughout the world. Growth in the industry is driven by increased
demand for surface mined commodities such as copper (especially in South
America), oil sands (Canada) and coal (China, the United States, India,
Australia, South African and Russia). The Company projects that surface
mining of coal in China and India holds potential for long-term growth.
The equipment that the Company manufacture and the services that it
provides are primarily used to mine copper, coal (thermal and metallurgical),
oil sands
and iron ore. Machine sales are closely correlated with the strength of
commodity markets and maintain and augment the Company's almost $12.6
billion
installed base as of December 31, 2006. The Company's installed base of
machines provides the foundation for its aftermarket activities. The
Company's aftermarket parts and service operations, which historically have
been more stable and more profitable than the Company's machine sales,
have accounted for
approximately 72% of sales over the last 10 years. Over that period and
throughout various commodities cycles, the Company's aftermarket sales
have
sustained a compound annual sales growth rate of 10%, increasing every year
except for 1999, in which sales declined 2%. The Company have established
a
global presence with a network of 26 sales and service offices located in all
countries where major surface mining operations are located. The Company
manufacture its machines and the majority of its aftermarket parts at its
facilities in South Milwaukee and Milwaukee, Wisconsin.
The
stock's price gained 29.6% over the past 3 months (vs. the Industry's 25.2%);
59.4% over the past 6 months (vs. the Industry's 55.5%); and 107.7% over
the past 12 months (vs. the Industry's 108.5%). The Company
is classified as a mid-cap growth company (with a market cap of $4.91B) that
is rated to outperform the market over the next six months with a Risk Level of
3 (Average). The Company was incorporated in 1927 as the successor to a business
that began producing excavation machines in 1880. The Company's
principal executive offices are located at South Milwaukee, Wisconsin.
The Company
has
6,050 employees.
Sector:
Capital Goods;
Industry:
Construction & Agricultural Machinery;
Ticker: BUCY;
Exch:
NASD;
05/23/08
Closing Price:
$132.16
STOCK GRADE (ASG): 51.26 (VERY GOOD)
BUSINESS & FINANCIAL SUMMARY;
KEY STATS
(Yahoo)
EXPANDED BUSINESS DESCRIPTION
(Reuters)
|